Internacional 2-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Anthoni 8.9 · A. Bernabéi 8.3 · Fábio 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections01:07Internacional beat Fluminense 2-0 in the Serie A matchday 14 on 3 May 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Internacional scored first, in the 39th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 39' Alexandro Bernabei, assisted by Alerrandro → 1-0; 49' Alerrandro → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Internacional 4, Fluminense 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Internacional 1.78, Fluminense 0.90; shots 18-11 (9-6 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 81%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.88.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Anthoni was Internacional's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 95 minutes: 6 saves.
Fábio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 95 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Internacional 42%, draw 28%, Fluminense 30%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 May 2026: the Serie A matchday 14 match ended Internacional 2-0 Fluminense. Goals: Alexandro Bernabei 39', Alerrandro 49'. Match stats: possession Internacional 33%, Fluminense 67%; shots on target 9-6; expected goals (xG) 1.78-0.90.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.