Inter 3-1 Parma
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Mkhitaryan 8.9 · H. Çalhanoğlu 7.7 · A. Bastoni 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections07:52Inter beat Parma 3-1 in the Serie A matchday 15 on 6 December 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Inter scored first, in the 40th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 40' F. Dimarco, assisted by H. Mkhitaryan → 1-0; 53' N. Barella, assisted by H. Mkhitaryan → 2-0; 66' M. Thuram, assisted by Y. Bisseck → 3-0; 81' M. Darmian (own goal) → 4-0.
VAR intervened 3 times; yellow cards: Inter 1, Parma 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Inter 1.77, Parma 0.38; shots 18-4 (5-1 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 10-1; pass accuracy 88%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.39.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Mkhitaryan was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 4 key passes, 4 tackles, won 4 of 5 duels.
E. Del Prato was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 5 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Inter beat Parma 3-1 in the Serie A matchday 15 on 6 December 2024. Goals: F. Dimarco 40', N. Barella 53', M. Thuram 66', M. Darmian 81' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Inter 57%, Parma 43%; shots on target 5-1; expected goals (xG) 1.77-0.38.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.