Inter 2-0 Monza
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lautaro Martínez 8.6 · F. Dimarco 8.0 · A. Bastoni 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections05:5919 August 2023: the Serie A matchday 1 match ended Inter 2-0 Monza.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Inter scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' L. Martínez, assisted by D. Dumfries → 1-0; 76' L. Martínez, assisted by M. Arnautović → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Inter 1, Monza 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Inter 2.69, Monza 0.78; shots 22-12 (3-2 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 90%-90%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.91.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Lautaro Martínez was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 80 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 2 of 6 duels.
D. D'Ambrosio was Monza's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 70 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
19 August 2023: the Serie A matchday 1 match ended Inter 2-0 Monza. Goals: L. Martínez 8', L. Martínez 76'. Match stats: possession Inter 48%, Monza 52%; shots on target 3-2; expected goals (xG) 2.69-0.78.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.