Inter 4-1 Inca Aruba
Primera Division · Apertura - 6Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections01:38Inter beat Inca Aruba 4-1 in the Primera Division on 22 August 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Inter scored first, in the 51st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 51' J. Henriquez → 1-0; 65' B. Paz (penalty) → 1-1; 68' D. Ceren → 2-1; 82' L. E. Vasquez Guillen → 3-1; 90+3' M. Hernandez → 4-1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 4-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: J. Henriquez, B. Paz, D. Ceren, L. E. Vasquez Guillen, M. Hernandez.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Inter 57%, draw 26%, Inca Aruba 18%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Inter vs Inca Aruba (Primera Division, 22 August 2026) finished 4-1. Goals: J. Henriquez 51', B. Paz 65' (pen), D. Ceren 68', L. E. Vasquez Guillen 82', M. Hernandez 90+3'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.