Inter 2-0 Genoa
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Dimarco 8.2 · Luis Henrique 7.9 · M. Akanji 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections22:0828 February 2026: the Serie A matchday 27 match ended Inter 2-0 Genoa.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Inter scored first, in the 31st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 31' F. Dimarco, assisted by H. Mkhitaryan → 1-0; 70' H. Calhanoglu (penalty) → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Inter 2, Genoa 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Inter 1.61, Genoa 0.21; shots 14-6 (6-2 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 10-2; pass accuracy 88%-86%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.40.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
F. Dimarco was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 5 tackles, won 7 of 13 duels.
L. Østigård was Genoa's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 9 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
28 February 2026: the Serie A matchday 27 match ended Inter 2-0 Genoa. Goals: F. Dimarco 31', H. Calhanoglu 70' (pen). Match stats: possession Inter 56%, Genoa 44%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 1.61-0.21.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.