Inter 3-1 Empoli
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: N. Barella 8.5 · K. Asllani 8.2 · M. Thuram 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections23:23Inter beat Empoli 3-1 in the Serie A matchday 21 on 19 January 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Inter scored first, in the 55th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 55' L. Martínez, assisted by N. Barella → 1-0; 79' D. Dumfries, assisted by K. Asllani → 2-0; 84' S. Esposito, assisted by L. Henderson → 2-1; 89' M. Thuram, assisted by M. Arnautović → 3-1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Inter 1.59, Empoli 0.28; shots 18-5 (7-1 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 7-3; pass accuracy 87%-75%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.31.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 3-1 in the second.
Standout players
N. Barella was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, 3 tackles, won 3 of 7 duels.
S. Esposito was Empoli's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 24 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 1 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Inter beat Empoli 3-1 in the Serie A matchday 21 on 19 January 2025. Goals: L. Martínez 55', D. Dumfries 79', S. Esposito 84', M. Thuram 89'. Match stats: possession Inter 69%, Empoli 31%; shots on target 7-1; expected goals (xG) 1.59-0.28.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.