Independiente 0-2 Lanus
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: N. Losada 8.2 · M. Valenzuela 7.9 · W. Bou 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections10:50Independiente lost to Lanus 0-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 13 October 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Lanus scored first, in the 25th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 25' W. Bou → 0-1; 89' R. Castillo → 0-2.
G. Quinteros (Independiente) was sent off in the 30th minute; S. Montiel (Independiente) was sent off in the 83rd minute; yellow cards: Independiente 5, Lanus 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Independiente 1.09, Lanus 1.62; shots 22-8 (5-3 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 10-2; pass accuracy 82%-67%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.53.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Valenzuela was Independiente's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 96 minutes: 1 key pass, 9 tackles, won 11 of 14 duels.
N. Losada was Lanus's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 96 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 October 2025: the Liga Profesional Argentina match ended Independiente 0-2 Lanus. Goals: W. Bou 25', R. Castillo 89'. Match stats: possession Independiente 67%, Lanus 33%; shots on target 5-3; expected goals (xG) 1.09-1.62.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.