Ilves 0-1 VPS
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections18:28Ilves lost to VPS 0-1 in the Veikkausliiga matchday 21 on 22 August 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. VPS scored first, in the 9th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 9' S. Lindholm, assisted by K. Kouassivi-Benissan → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Ilves 2, VPS 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-12 (2-6 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 9-2.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: S. Lindholm.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Ilves 51%, draw 23%, VPS 25%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
22 August 2026: the Veikkausliiga matchday 21 match ended Ilves 0-1 VPS. Goals: S. Lindholm 9'. Match stats: possession Ilves 51%, VPS 49%; shots on target 2-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.