IF Elfsborg 3-2 Malmo FF
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: A. Christiansen 8.9 · I. Kiese Thelin 8.7 · M. Baidoo 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections14:484 September 2022: the Allsvenskan matchday 21 match ended IF Elfsborg 3-2 Malmo FF.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. IF Elfsborg scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' M. Baidoo (penalty) → 1-0; 42' I. Kiese Thelin, assisted by M. Turay → 1-1; 65' I. Kiese Thelin, assisted by A. Christiansen → 1-2; 73' M. Baidoo, assisted by J. Okkels → 2-2; 79' A. Rømer, assisted by J. Larsson → 3-2.
Yellow cards: IF Elfsborg 4, Malmo FF 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-16 (5-4 on target); possession 31%-69%; corners 5-5; pass accuracy 67%-84%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Baidoo was IF Elfsborg's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 2 of 5 duels.
A. Christiansen was Malmo FF's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 3 tackles, won 8 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan matchday 21, 4 September 2022) finished 3-2. Goals: M. Baidoo 11' (pen), I. Kiese Thelin 42', I. Kiese Thelin 65', M. Baidoo 73', A. Rømer 79'. Match stats: possession IF Elfsborg 31%, Malmo FF 69%; shots on target 5-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.