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IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25
IF Elfsborg
20:00
Awaiting line-upsBorås Arena
Malmo FF
Borås Arena, BoråsReferee Granit MaqedonciFri 23 Oct 2026, 20:00capacity 16,899

Highlights

Locked 23 Oct 11:11

Up to 3 of the clearest estimates across all markets, calibration-checked. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
78%
Clearleague base 78%calibrated
Highlight 2
Both teams score: yes
60%±5
Notableleague base 53%adjusted to 57% for ranking
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · ELF 44% · X 25% · MAL 31%Most likely score 1-1 12%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Line-ups and absences

usually −60 min
Line-ups not announced yet.Formation and the model's shift appear here once announced.
ELF…
MAL…
Your predictionLocks: 23 Oct 20:00
ELF
–
MAL
–
Model: 1-1 (12%)

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.

Preview

5 sections11:57

Friday 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC: IF Elfsborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan matchday 25.

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Match context

The venue is Borås Arena, Borås, capacity 16,899. The referee is Granit Maqedonci.

Form

IF Elfsborg have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 (LWWWD), scoring 10 and conceding 5 — 2.0 / 1.0 per match. They took 6 points from 2 home matches in that run. They kept 2 clean sheets.

Malmo FF have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 (DWLWL), scoring 5 and conceding 4 — 1.0 / 0.8 per match. They took 0 points from 1 away match in that run. They kept 2 clean sheets.

Head to head

In the last 5 meetings IF Elfsborg won 2, Malmo FF won 2 and 1 ended level. Goals: IF Elfsborg 9, Malmo FF 8.

The most recent meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg.

Key players and absentees

Recent form singles out L. Östman (3 goals in 5 matches, 2 assists, 5 shots on target, average rating 7.5) and A. Jensen (0 goals in 5 matches, 3 assists, average rating 7.0) for IF Elfsborg.

For Malmo FF, the standout performers in recent matches: O. Rosengren (2 goals in 5 matches, 1 assist, 5 shots on target, average rating 7.3); J. Stryger Larsen (0 goals in 5 matches, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.2).

IF Elfsborg absentees: L. Hägg-Johansson (unavailable), M. Rohdén (injured).

Malmo FF absentees: Isaac Assibu (unavailable), K. Busuladžić (injured), M. Lahdo (doubtful), N. Åstrand John (unavailable), O. Sjöstrand (injured), P. Jansson (injured) and 1 more.

Model estimate

The statistical model estimate gives IF Elfsborg a 44% (80% interval 37%–50%) chance of winning; draw 25%, Malmo FF 31%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Expected goals in the model: IF Elfsborg 1.60, Malmo FF 1.36. Chance of 3+ goals: 56%; both teams to score: 60%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 08:11 UTC; the last locked estimate before kick-off is scored in our public track record.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Friday 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC: IF Elfsborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan matchday 25. Venue: Borås Arena, Borås. Referee: Granit Maqedonci. The statistical model estimate gives IF Elfsborg a 44% (80% interval 37%–50%) chance of winning; draw 25%, Malmo FF 31%. Most likely single score: 1-1 (12%). Chance of 3+ goals: 56%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 08:11 UTC and will be scored publicly in our track record.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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IF Elfsborg · next match
Malmo FF · next match