Heracles 2-1 Utrecht
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Castro 8.5 · T. Bruns 8.2 · K. Conboy 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections08:4211 March 2017: the Eredivisie matchday 26 match ended Heracles 2-1 Utrecht.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Heracles came from behind in the second half to win. Utrecht scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' Y. Ayoub → 0-1; 46' B. Kuwas, assisted by J. Hoogma → 1-1; 90' T. Bruns → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Heracles 0, Utrecht 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-19 (7-10 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 78%-80%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
B. Castro was Heracles's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 9 saves.
K. Conboy was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, won 11 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Heracles beat Utrecht 2-1 in the Eredivisie matchday 26 on 11 March 2017. Goals: Y. Ayoub 26', B. Kuwas 46', T. Bruns 90'. Match stats: possession Heracles 49%, Utrecht 51%; shots on target 7-10.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.