Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Eredivisie · Matchweek 5Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: V. Jensen 8.3 · M. Seuntjens 8.0 · A. Nankishi 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections16:46Heracles lost to Utrecht 1-3 in the Eredivisie matchday 5 on 16 September 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Utrecht scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' O. Romeny, assisted by M. Seuntjens → 0-1; 45+6' V. Jensen, assisted by O. Fraulo → 0-2; 62' A. Nankishi, assisted by T. Bruns → 1-2; 90+4' N. Bakboord (own goal) → 2-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Heracles 3, Utrecht 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Heracles 1.04, Utrecht 1.55; shots 11-11 (1-7 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 82%-77%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.51.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
A. Nankishi was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 45 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 5 duels.
V. Jensen was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 5 tackles, won 10 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Heracles vs Utrecht (Eredivisie matchday 5, 16 September 2023) finished 1-3. Goals: O. Romeny 5', V. Jensen 45+6', A. Nankishi 62', N. Bakboord 90+4' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Heracles 57%, Utrecht 43%; shots on target 1-7; expected goals (xG) 1.04-1.55.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.