Heracles 1-1 Telstar
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: R. Koeman 8.3 · M. Engels 7.7 · J. Hardeveld 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections11:586 December 2025: the Eredivisie matchday 15 match ended Heracles 1-1 Telstar.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Telstar scored first, in the 67th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 67' M. Zonneveld, assisted by J. Hardeveld → 0-1; 90' I. Mesik, assisted by M. Engels → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Heracles 3, Telstar 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Heracles 2.21, Telstar 0.75; shots 15-11 (6-2 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 6-6; pass accuracy 74%-80%.
Heracles created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Engels was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 18 minutes: 1 assist, 2 key passes, won 1 of 2 duels.
R. Koeman was Telstar's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Heracles drew with Telstar 1-1 in the Eredivisie matchday 15 on 6 December 2025. Goals: M. Zonneveld 67', I. Mesik 90'. Match stats: possession Heracles 46%, Telstar 54%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 2.21-0.75.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.