Heracles 1-3 Excelsior
Eredivisie · Relegation Round
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Wieffer 7.9 · J. Baas 7.9 · T. Dallinga 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections13:4321 May 2022: the Eredivisie match ended Heracles 1-3 Excelsior.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Excelsior came from behind in the second half to win. Heracles scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' S. Bakış, assisted by B. Başacıkoğlu → 1-0; 47' T. Dallinga, assisted by J. Baas → 1-1; 63' M. Wieffer, assisted by J. Baas → 1-2; 83' N. Agrafiotis, assisted by C. Driouech → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Heracles 1, Excelsior 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-13 (4-6 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 76%-68%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-3 in the second.
Standout players
B. Başacıkoğlu was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 97 minutes: 1 assist, 5 key passes, 3 tackles, won 8 of 15 duels.
M. Wieffer was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 97 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 11 tackles, won 22 of 36 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
21 May 2022: the Eredivisie match ended Heracles 1-3 Excelsior. Goals: S. Bakış 28', T. Dallinga 47', M. Wieffer 63', N. Agrafiotis 83'. Match stats: possession Heracles 60%, Excelsior 40%; shots on target 4-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.