Heracles 4-5 Excelsior
Eredivisie · Matchweek 34
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Adrián Dalmau 9.4 · E. Omarsson 8.8 · J. Mattheij 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections03:2212 May 2019: the Eredivisie matchday 34 match ended Heracles 4-5 Excelsior.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Excelsior scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' E. Ómarsson, assisted by J. Mattheij → 0-1; 23' Adrián Dalmau → 1-1; 45' E. Ómarsson → 1-2; 51' Adrián Dalmau → 2-2; 59' Adrián Dalmau → 3-2; 62' L. Duarte, assisted by Adrián Dalmau → 4-2; 71' J. Mattheij, assisted by M. Edwards → 4-3; 89' D. Eckert, assisted by H. Matthys → 4-4; 90+1' E. Ómarsson → 4-5.
Yellow cards: Heracles 1, Excelsior 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-11 (10-7 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 4-6; pass accuracy 83%-75%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 3-3 in the second.
Standout players
Adrián Dalmau was Heracles's highest-rated player at 9.4 in 90 minutes: 3 goals, 1 assist, 7 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 7 duels.
E. Omarsson was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 8.8 in 90 minutes: 3 goals, 3 shots on target, won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Heracles vs Excelsior (Eredivisie matchday 34, 12 May 2019) finished 4-5. Goals: E. Ómarsson 4', Adrián Dalmau 23', E. Ómarsson 45', Adrián Dalmau 51', Adrián Dalmau 59', L. Duarte 62', J. Mattheij 71', D. Eckert 89', E. Ómarsson 90+1'. Match stats: possession Heracles 58%, Excelsior 42%; shots on target 10-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.