Heracles 4-0 Excelsior
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Bruns 9.3 · R. Pröpper 8.0 · J. Hoogma 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections06:39Heracles beat Excelsior 4-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 23 on 18 February 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Heracles scored first, in the 42nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 42' B. Kuwas → 1-0; 58' T. Bruns, assisted by P. van Ooijen → 2-0; 66' M. te Wierik, assisted by T. Bruns → 3-0; 84' K. Peterson, assisted by S. Armenteros → 4-0.
Jurgen Matheij (Excelsior) was sent off in the 34th minute; yellow cards: Heracles 1, Excelsior 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 30-14 (13-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 89%-79%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
T. Bruns was Heracles's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 5 key passes, won 3 of 9 duels.
R. Koolwijk was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, won 4 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
18 February 2017: the Eredivisie matchday 23 match ended Heracles 4-0 Excelsior. Goals: B. Kuwas 42', T. Bruns 58', M. te Wierik 66', K. Peterson 84'. Match stats: possession Heracles 60%, Excelsior 40%; shots on target 13-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.