Heracles 2-2 Excelsior
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Kuwas 7.8 · B. Darri 7.5 · J. Caenepeel 7.4
Match analysis
5 sections18:3326 August 2017: the Eredivisie matchday 3 match ended Heracles 2-2 Excelsior.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Heracles scored first, in the 15th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 15' B. Kuwas, assisted by J. Pelupessy → 1-0; 16' L. Bruins, assisted by A. Messaoud → 1-1; 52' P. Gladon, assisted by B. van Hintum → 2-1; 63' J. Caenepeel → 2-2.
Anouar Hadouir (Excelsior) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Heracles 1, Excelsior 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-11 (6-5 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 82%-79%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
B. Kuwas was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 45 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 8 of 10 duels.
J. Caenepeel was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 66 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
26 August 2017: the Eredivisie matchday 3 match ended Heracles 2-2 Excelsior. Goals: B. Kuwas 15', L. Bruins 16', P. Gladon 52', J. Caenepeel 63'. Match stats: possession Heracles 52%, Excelsior 48%; shots on target 6-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.