Heracles 3-2 De Graafschap
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Armenteros 7.7 · E. Hansson 7.6 · M. Vejinovic 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections09:597 October 2022: the Eerste Divisie matchday 10 match ended Heracles 3-2 De Graafschap.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Heracles scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' E. Hansson, assisted by N. Laursen → 1-0; 18' S. de Jong → 1-1; 49' S. Armenteros, assisted by E. Hansson → 2-1; 71' D. Gravenberch, assisted by R. Schouten → 2-2; 75' T. Bruns, assisted by L. Schoofs → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Heracles 1, De Graafschap 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-13 (6-6 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 6-2; pass accuracy 76%-79%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
S. Armenteros was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 87 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 9 of 13 duels.
R. Hillen was De Graafschap's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Heracles vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie matchday 10, 7 October 2022) finished 3-2. Goals: E. Hansson 5', S. de Jong 18', S. Armenteros 49', D. Gravenberch 71', T. Bruns 75'. Match stats: possession Heracles 46%, De Graafschap 54%; shots on target 6-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.