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Heracles 2-4 Ajax

Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Heracles
24
Full-timeHT 1-1
Ajax
12'Hornkamp60'Engels
Brobbey16'Berghuis55'Brobbey57'Hlynsson84'
Erve Asito, AlmeloReferee D. HiglerSat 27 Jan 2024, 23:00capacity 13,500

Model accuracy

No model estimate for this match.Highlights appear here once an estimate is produced.

All match events

16All ›
Kick-off · 23:00
12'
J. HornkampAssist J. Wieckhoff1-0
15'
Brian De KeersmaeckerYellow card
16'
1-1B. BrobbeyAssist B. Tahirović
Half-time 1-1
46'
T. BrunsOn · M. Vejinović off
55'
1-2S. BerghuisAssist K. Hlynsson
56'
B. LimbombeOn · J. Bruijn off
56'
M. EngelsOn · E. Hansson off
57'
1-3B. BrobbeyAssist J. Hato
60'
M. EngelsAssist M. Brouwer2-3
79'
M. SankohOn · J. Hornkamp off
81'
Kenneth TaylorYellow card
83'
A. GaaeiOn · T. Gooijer off
84'
2-4K. HlynssonAssist D. Rensch
90'
Sava Arangel ČestićYellow card
90+2'
N. BakboordOn · S. Čestić off
90+3'
J. BanelOn · Carlos Forbs off
Full time 2-4

Match stats

Heracles
Ajax
1.01
xG
4.00
13
Shots
31
7
On target
12
8
Shots in box
26
%27
Possession
%73
3
Corners
11
9
Fouls
5
7
Saves
5

Starting XIs

5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1Line-ups ›
Heracles
5-4-1
Coach E. van de LooiBench 9
Ajax
4-2-3-1
Coach J. van 't SchipBench 11

Standouts: S. Berghuis 9.7 · K. Hlynsson 9.2 · B. Tahirović 8.2

Your predictionFull time 2-4
HER
–
AJA
–
No prediction · Locked 23:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections21:00

27 January 2024: the Eredivisie matchday 19 match ended Heracles 2-4 Ajax.

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Result and story of the match

It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Heracles scored first, in the 12th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 12' J. Hornkamp, assisted by J. Wieckhoff → 1-0; 16' B. Brobbey, assisted by B. Tahirović → 1-1; 55' S. Berghuis, assisted by K. Hlynsson → 1-2; 57' B. Brobbey, assisted by J. Hato → 1-3; 60' M. Engels, assisted by M. Brouwer → 2-3; 84' K. Hlynsson, assisted by D. Rensch → 2-4.

Yellow cards: Heracles 2, Ajax 1.

Statistical comparison

Expected goals (xG) Heracles 1.01, Ajax 4.00; shots 13-31 (7-12 on target); possession 27%-73%; corners 3-11; pass accuracy 76%-91%.

Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.99.

Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-3 in the second.

Standout players

J. Hoogma was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 5 of 6 duels.

S. Berghuis was Ajax's highest-rated player at 9.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 8 key passes, 3 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Heracles vs Ajax (Eredivisie matchday 19, 27 January 2024) finished 2-4. Goals: J. Hornkamp 12', B. Brobbey 16', S. Berghuis 55', B. Brobbey 57', M. Engels 60', K. Hlynsson 84'. Match stats: possession Heracles 27%, Ajax 73%; shots on target 7-12; expected goals (xG) 1.01-4.00.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology

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