Guingamp 1-1 Caen
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Y. M'Changama 7.7 · J. Mellot 7.5 · Y. N'Gbakoto 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections19:2929 November 2019: the Ligue 2 matchday 16 match ended Guingamp 1-1 Caen.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Caen levelled after the break. Guingamp scored first, in the 35th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 35' Y. N'Gbakoto, assisted by Y. M'Changama → 1-0; 79' M. Tchokounté, assisted by J. Pi → 1-1.
Yeni N'Gbakoto (Guingamp) was sent off in the 81st minute; yellow cards: Guingamp 1, Caen 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-9 (1-5 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 2-4; pass accuracy 84%-82%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Y. M'Changama was Guingamp's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 1 tackle.
M. Tchokounté was Caen's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 17 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Guingamp vs Caen (Ligue 2 matchday 16, 29 November 2019) finished 1-1. Goals: Y. N'Gbakoto 35', M. Tchokounté 79'. Match stats: possession Guingamp 49%, Caen 51%; shots on target 1-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.