Groningen 3-3 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Jesper Drost 8.3 · B. Kuwas 7.6 · M. Mahi 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections20:4827 January 2018: the Eredivisie matchday 20 match ended Groningen 3-3 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Heracles levelled after the break. Groningen scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' T. van Weert, assisted by Jesper Drost → 1-0; 34' Jamiro, assisted by B. Darri → 1-1; 43' Jesper Drost → 2-1; 45' M. Mahi, assisted by R. Doan → 3-1; 63' V. Vermeij, assisted by B. Kuwas → 3-2; 78' R. Pröpper → 3-3.
Yellow cards: Groningen 2, Heracles 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-16 (7-7 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 2-5; pass accuracy 74%-75%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Jesper Drost was Groningen's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 4 of 7 duels.
B. Kuwas was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 45 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 6 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
27 January 2018: the Eredivisie matchday 20 match ended Groningen 3-3 Heracles. Goals: T. van Weert 28', Jamiro 34', Jesper Drost 43', M. Mahi 45', V. Vermeij 63', R. Pröpper 78'. Match stats: possession Groningen 48%, Heracles 52%; shots on target 7-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.