Grimsby 5-0 Barrow
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Kabia 10.0 · J. Smith 8.3 · K. Green 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:1521 March 2026: the League Two matchday 39 match ended Grimsby 5-0 Barrow.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Grimsby scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' A. Cook, assisted by D. Burns → 1-0; 42' K. Green, assisted by J. Kabia → 2-0; 61' J. Kabia, assisted by G. McEachran → 3-0; 87' K. Green, assisted by R. Staunton → 4-0; 90' J. Kabia, assisted by J. Amaluzor → 5-0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Grimsby 2.27, Barrow 0.28; shots 15-10 (7-4 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 4-6; pass accuracy 61%-65%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.99.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Kabia was Grimsby's highest-rated player at 10.0 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 8 duels.
J. Earing was Barrow's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 67 minutes: 1 key pass, won 9 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Grimsby beat Barrow 5-0 in the League Two matchday 39 on 21 March 2026. Goals: A. Cook 17', K. Green 42', J. Kabia 61', K. Green 87', J. Kabia 90'. Match stats: possession Grimsby 48%, Barrow 52%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 2.27-0.28.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.