Grimsby 2-1 Barrow
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Rodgers 8.3 · P. Farman 7.7 · E. Newby 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections05:51Grimsby beat Barrow 2-1 in the League Two matchday 11 on 3 October 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Grimsby scored first, in the 37th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 37' D. Rose, assisted by M. Efete → 1-0; 75' D. Wilson, assisted by J. Andrews → 2-0; 79' S. Foley, assisted by G. Garner → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Grimsby 1, Barrow 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-24 (6-7 on target); possession 43%-57%; corners 4-7; pass accuracy 65%-74%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Rodgers was Grimsby's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 15 of 17 duels.
S. Foley was Barrow's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 32 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Grimsby vs Barrow (League Two matchday 11, 3 October 2023) finished 2-1. Goals: D. Rose 37', D. Wilson 75', S. Foley 79'. Match stats: possession Grimsby 43%, Barrow 57%; shots on target 6-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.