Grenoble 3-1 Caen
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: P. Meïssa Ba 8.9 · G. Paquiez 8.5 · T. Valls 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections16:22Grenoble beat Caen 3-1 in the Ligue 2 matchday 4 on 16 September 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Caen scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' Alexandre Mendy, assisted by B. Brahimi → 0-1; 42' P. Meïssa Ba (penalty) → 1-1; 45' P. Meïssa Ba, assisted by T. Valls → 2-1; 59' G. Paquiez → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Grenoble 1, Caen 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-10 (5-5 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 9-5; pass accuracy 81%-86%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
P. Meïssa Ba was Grenoble's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 4 of 8 duels.
Y. M'Vila was Caen's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 September 2024: the Ligue 2 matchday 4 match ended Grenoble 3-1 Caen. Goals: Alexandre Mendy 4', P. Meïssa Ba 42' (pen), P. Meïssa Ba 45', G. Paquiez 59'. Match stats: possession Grenoble 49%, Caen 51%; shots on target 5-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.