Gremio 4-5 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Y. González 8.1 · Luciano 8.0 · Matheus Ferraz 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections22:29Gremio lost to Fluminense 4-5 in the Serie A matchday 3 on 5 May 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-2 at half-time. Fluminense came from behind in the second half to win. Gremio scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' André, assisted by Bruno Cortez → 1-0; 13' Everton, assisted by Alisson → 2-0; 22' Jean Pyerre, assisted by André → 3-0; 39' Y. González, assisted by Luciano → 3-1; 41' Luciano → 3-2; 55' Matheus Ferraz → 3-3; 72' Pedro (penalty) → 3-4; 84' W. Kannemann, assisted by Luan → 4-4; 90+2' Y. González → 4-5.
Yellow cards: Gremio 2, Fluminense 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-17 (7-12 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 8-8; pass accuracy 86%-84%.
Goals by half: 3-2 in the first, 1-3 in the second.
Standout players
André was Gremio's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 5 of 15 duels.
Y. González was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 5 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Gremio lost to Fluminense 4-5 in the Serie A matchday 3 on 5 May 2019. Goals: André 6', Everton 13', Jean Pyerre 22', Y. González 39', Luciano 41', Matheus Ferraz 55', Pedro 72' (pen), W. Kannemann 84', Y. González 90+2'. Match stats: possession Gremio 51%, Fluminense 49%; shots on target 7-12.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.