Gremio 1-2 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Y. Soteldo 8.7 · Fábio 7.9 · André Henrique 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections02:323 December 2025: the Serie A matchday 37 match ended Gremio 1-2 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 19th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 19' Y. Soteldo → 0-1; 52' Y. Soteldo, assisted by L. Acosta → 0-2; 54' Andre Henrique, assisted by Willian → 1-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Gremio 3, Fluminense 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Gremio 0.60, Fluminense 0.92; shots 16-6 (7-2 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 10-0; pass accuracy 90%-83%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
André Henrique was Gremio's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 4 of 5 duels.
Y. Soteldo was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 69 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 3 tackles, won 8 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Gremio vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 37, 3 December 2025) finished 1-2. Goals: Y. Soteldo 19', Y. Soteldo 52', Andre Henrique 54'. Match stats: possession Gremio 55%, Fluminense 45%; shots on target 7-2; expected goals (xG) 0.60-0.92.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.