Gjilani 1-1 Llapi
Model accuracy
Locked 23 Oct 18:51The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections22:2623 October 2026: the Superliga matchday 11 match ended Gjilani 1-1 Llapi.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Gjilani scored first, in the 69th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 69' G. Limani → 1-0; 88' A. Aliu → 1-1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: G. Limani, A. Aliu.
How the model did
The locked pre-match statistical model estimate: Gjilani win 55% (80% interval 48%–63%), draw 24%, Llapi win 21%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Expected goals in the model: Gjilani 1.82, Llapi 0.96. Chance of 3+ goals: 53%; both teams to score: 53%.
The model's most likely outcome was Gjilani win (55%); the actual result was a draw (24%). The outcome call was a miss. Its most likely score was 1-1, which was exactly right.
Scoring rule: each match is graded on the last estimate locked before kick-off, which cannot be changed afterwards.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Gjilani vs Llapi (Superliga matchday 11, 23 October 2026) finished 1-1. Goals: G. Limani 69', A. Aliu 88'. The locked pre-match statistical model estimate: Gjilani win 55% (80% interval 48%–63%), draw 24%, Llapi win 21%. The outcome call was a miss, and the exact score was correct.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.