Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Lejeune 7.7 · E. Ünal 7.6 · David Soria 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections03:1612 February 2023: the LaLiga matchday 21 match ended Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Getafe levelled after the break. Getafe scored first, in the 38th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 38' M. Arambarri (own goal) → 1-0; 77' E. Ünal → 2-0.
Carles Aleñá (Getafe) was sent off in the 54th minute; yellow cards: Getafe 4, Rayo Vallecano 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Getafe 1.44, Rayo Vallecano 2.20; shots 13-19 (4-4 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 5-6; pass accuracy 66%-78%.
Rayo Vallecano created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
E. Ünal was Getafe's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 10 of 18 duels.
F. Lejeune was Rayo Vallecano's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
12 February 2023: the LaLiga matchday 21 match ended Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano. Goals: M. Arambarri 38' (o.g.), E. Ünal 77'. Match stats: possession Getafe 42%, Rayo Vallecano 58%; shots on target 4-4; expected goals (xG) 1.44-2.20.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.