Genoa 1-0 Parma
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Vásquez 7.9 · N. Leali 7.7 · Aarón Martín 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections16:3512 January 2025: the Serie A matchday 20 match ended Genoa 1-0 Parma.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Genoa scored first, in the 65th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 65' M. Frendrup, assisted by F. Miretti → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Genoa 2, Parma 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Genoa 1.19, Parma 0.46; shots 14-9 (4-3 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 6-9; pass accuracy 86%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.73.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Vásquez was Genoa's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 8 of 12 duels.
L. Valenti was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 3 of 4 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Genoa vs Parma (Serie A matchday 20, 12 January 2025) finished 1-0. Goals: M. Frendrup 65'. Match stats: possession Genoa 61%, Parma 39%; shots on target 4-3; expected goals (xG) 1.19-0.46.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.