Genoa 2-2 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Thuram 9.2 · M. Badelj 7.6 · A. Vogliacco 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections01:5717 August 2024: the Serie A matchday 1 match ended Genoa 2-2 Inter.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Genoa scored first, in the 20th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 20' A. Vogliacco → 1-0; 30' M. Thuram, assisted by N. Barella → 1-1; 82' M. Thuram, assisted by D. Frattesi → 1-2; 90+5' Junior Messias → 2-2.
Junior Messias missed a penalty in the 90th minute; VAR intervened 3 times; yellow cards: Genoa 1, Inter 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Genoa 2.11, Inter 1.96; shots 13-17 (7-8 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 1-4; pass accuracy 75%-88%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Badelj was Genoa's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 86 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 5 duels.
M. Thuram was Inter's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 5 shots on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 7 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 August 2024: the Serie A matchday 1 match ended Genoa 2-2 Inter. Goals: A. Vogliacco 20', M. Thuram 30', M. Thuram 82', Junior Messias 90+5'. Match stats: possession Genoa 33%, Inter 67%; shots on target 7-8; expected goals (xG) 2.11-1.96.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.