Genk 2-1 Malmo FF
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Karetsas 8.7 · Z. El Ouahdi 8.2 · D. Heymans 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections13:1429 January 2026: the UEFA Europa League league phase matchday 8 match ended Genk 2-1 Malmo FF.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Malmo FF scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' T. Ali, assisted by K. Busuladzic → 0-1; 45' D. Heymans (penalty) → 1-1; 82' K. Karetsas, assisted by D. Heymans → 2-1.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Genk 1, Malmo FF 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Genk 3.27, Malmo FF 0.54; shots 25-8 (9-3 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 8-6; pass accuracy 87%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.73.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
K. Karetsas was Genk's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 28 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 4 of 5 duels.
T. Ali was Malmo FF's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 73 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 5 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Genk beat Malmo FF 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League league phase matchday 8 on 29 January 2026. Goals: T. Ali 4', D. Heymans 45' (pen), K. Karetsas 82'. Match stats: possession Genk 62%, Malmo FF 38%; shots on target 9-3; expected goals (xG) 3.27-0.54.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.