Gefle IF 3-3 Piteå
Ettan - Norra · Norra - 26Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections11:48Gefle IF drew with Piteå 3-3 in the Ettan - Norra on 11 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Piteå levelled after the break. Gefle IF scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' M. Mokede, assisted by K. Persson → 1-0; 55' J. Lundback → 1-1; 61' L. Vikgren, assisted by E. Larsson → 2-1; 82' J. Lundback, assisted by Q. Hoeve → 2-2; 85' J. Bonilla, assisted by F. Johansson → 2-3; 90' L. Vikgren → 3-3.
M. Mokede (Gefle IF) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Gefle IF 0, Piteå 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-3 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: M. Mokede, J. Lundback, L. Vikgren, J. Bonilla.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Gefle IF 45%, draw 26%, Piteå 29%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Gefle IF drew with Piteå 3-3 in the Ettan - Norra on 11 October 2026. Goals: M. Mokede 8', J. Lundback 55', L. Vikgren 61', J. Lundback 82', J. Bonilla 85', L. Vikgren 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.