Fluminense 5-1 River Plate
CONMEBOL Libertadores · Group Stage - 3
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Cano 10.0 · J. Arias 9.5 · Fábio 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections17:283 May 2023: the CONMEBOL Libertadores match ended Fluminense 5-1 River Plate.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Fluminense scored first, in the 29th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 29' G. Cano, assisted by Keno → 1-0; 39' L. Beltrán, assisted by N. de la Cruz → 1-1; 53' G. Cano, assisted by Samuel Xavier → 2-1; 75' J. Arias, assisted by Alexsander → 3-1; 86' G. Cano, assisted by J. Arias → 4-1; 90+1' J. Arias, assisted by John Kennedy → 5-1.
L. Gonzalez (River Plate) was sent off in the 68th minute; yellow cards: Fluminense 4, River Plate 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-13 (9-7 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 5-6; pass accuracy 86%-82%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 4-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Cano was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 10.0 in 88 minutes: 3 goals, 5 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 7 of 10 duels.
N. de la Cruz was River Plate's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 63 minutes: 1 assist, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 May 2023: the CONMEBOL Libertadores match ended Fluminense 5-1 River Plate. Goals: G. Cano 29', L. Beltrán 39', G. Cano 53', J. Arias 75', G. Cano 86', J. Arias 90+1'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 55%, River Plate 45%; shots on target 9-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.