Fluminense 2-3 Gremio
Serie A · Matchweek 38
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Arias 8.3 · L. Suárez 8.3 · M. Villasanti 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections07:32Fluminense lost to Gremio 2-3 in the Serie A matchday 38 on 7 December 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 34th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 34' J. Arias (penalty) → 1-0; 43' L. Suárez, assisted by M. Villasanti → 1-1; 45' Everton Galdino → 1-2; 64' L. Suárez (penalty) → 1-3; 81' John Kennedy, assisted by Lima → 2-3.
Yellow cards: Fluminense 3, Gremio 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 2.39, Gremio 2.39; shots 23-12 (7-5 on target); possession 70%-30%; corners 7-3; pass accuracy 93%-80%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Arias was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 7 key passes, 3 tackles, won 4 of 8 duels.
L. Suárez was Gremio's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 87 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 6 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense vs Gremio (Serie A matchday 38, 7 December 2023) finished 2-3. Goals: J. Arias 34' (pen), L. Suárez 43', Everton Galdino 45', L. Suárez 64' (pen), John Kennedy 81'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 70%, Gremio 30%; shots on target 7-5; expected goals (xG) 2.39-2.39.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.