Fluminense 2-1 Coritiba
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: John Kennedy 8.0 · G. Cano 7.6 · Marcelo 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections16:3926 November 2023: the Serie A matchday 35 match ended Fluminense 2-1 Coritiba.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+1' G. Cano, assisted by J. Arias → 1-0; 63' John Kennedy, assisted by J. Arias → 2-0; 90' Jesé, assisted by Bruno Gomes → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Fluminense 2, Coritiba 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 1.63, Coritiba 0.91; shots 21-16 (8-3 on target); possession 65%-35%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 90%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.72.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
John Kennedy was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 84 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 8 of 12 duels.
Luan Polli was Coritiba's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 6 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense beat Coritiba 2-1 in the Serie A matchday 35 on 26 November 2023. Goals: G. Cano 45+1', John Kennedy 63', Jesé 90'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 65%, Coritiba 35%; shots on target 8-3; expected goals (xG) 1.63-0.91.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.