Fluminense 3-3 Corinthians
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lima 8.6 · Yuri Alberto 7.9 · André 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections21:5420 October 2023: the Serie A matchday 27 match ended Fluminense 3-3 Corinthians.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-3 at half-time. Fluminense levelled after the break. Corinthians scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' Yuri Alberto, assisted by Maycon → 0-1; 22' Lima, assisted by G. Cano → 1-1; 27' Yuri Alberto, assisted by Maycon → 1-2; 32' Fábio Santos (penalty) → 1-3; 56' Lima → 2-3; 84' J. Arias, assisted by PH Ganso → 3-3.
Felipe Melo (Fluminense) was sent off in the -5th minute; Thiago Santos (Fluminense) was sent off in the -5th minute; yellow cards: Fluminense 6, Corinthians 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 1.74, Corinthians 2.04; shots 24-7 (10-3 on target); possession 76%-24%; corners 15-1; pass accuracy 92%-76%.
Goals by half: 1-3 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Lima was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 9 of 16 duels.
Yuri Alberto was Corinthians's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 65 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense drew with Corinthians 3-3 in the Serie A matchday 27 on 20 October 2023. Goals: Yuri Alberto 10', Lima 22', Yuri Alberto 27', Fábio Santos 32' (pen), Lima 56', J. Arias 84'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 76%, Corinthians 24%; shots on target 10-3; expected goals (xG) 1.74-2.04.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.