Fluminense 3-3 Chapecoense-sc
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Arthur Caíke 8.4 · Gustavo Scarpa 7.8 · Marcos Calazans 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections16:123 July 2017: the Serie A matchday 11 match ended Fluminense 3-3 Chapecoense-sc.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Fluminense levelled after the break. Fluminense scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' Richarlison, assisted by Gustavo Scarpa → 1-0; 13' Rossi → 1-1; 42' Arthur, assisted by Andrei Girotto → 1-2; 70' Pedro, assisted by Wellington → 2-2; 82' Arthur, assisted by Reinaldo → 2-3; 90+3' Marcos Júnior, assisted by Richarlison → 3-3.
Rossi (Chapecoense-sc) was sent off in the 80th minute; yellow cards: Fluminense 3, Chapecoense-sc 6.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-23 (8-7 on target); possession 68%-32%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 84%-65%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Gustavo Scarpa was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 7 key passes, won 4 of 10 duels.
Arthur Caíke was Chapecoense-sc's highest-rated player at 8.4 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 10 of 20 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A matchday 11, 3 July 2017) finished 3-3. Goals: Richarlison 2', Rossi 13', Arthur 42', Pedro 70', Arthur 82', Marcos Júnior 90+3'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 68%, Chapecoense-sc 32%; shots on target 8-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.