Fluminense 2-2 Ceara
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Vina 8.5 · Danilo Barcelos 8.2 · Nino 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections18:00Fluminense drew with Ceara 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 17 on 18 October 2020.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' Luiz Henrique, assisted by Danilo Barcelos → 1-0; 41' Húdson (own goal) → 2-0; 78' Vinícius Goes → 2-1; 90+1' Danilo Barcelos, assisted by Fred → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Fluminense 3, Ceara 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 6-17 (3-4 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 4-3; pass accuracy 84%-76%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Danilo Barcelos was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 9 of 17 duels.
Vina was Ceara's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 80 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense vs Ceara (Serie A matchday 17, 18 October 2020) finished 2-2. Goals: Luiz Henrique 13', Húdson 41' (o.g.), Vinícius Goes 78', Danilo Barcelos 90+1'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 58%, Ceara 42%; shots on target 3-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.