Fluminense 1-0 Ceara
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Renê 8.5 · J. Freytes 7.3 · A. Canobbio 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:10Fluminense beat Ceara 1-0 in the Serie A matchday 12 on 29 October 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' Rene → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Fluminense 5, Ceara 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 1.03, Ceara 0.18; shots 12-6 (5-0 on target); possession 59%-41%; corners 9-3; pass accuracy 86%-82%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.85.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Renê was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 100 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 12 duels.
Matheus Bahia was Ceara's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 100 minutes: 1 tackle, won 4 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense vs Ceara (Serie A matchday 12, 29 October 2025) finished 1-0. Goals: Rene 26'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 59%, Ceara 41%; shots on target 5-0; expected goals (xG) 1.03-0.18.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.