Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Martinelli 7.9 · Lima 7.5 · G. Cano 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections15:37Fluminense beat Botafogo 2-0 in the Serie A matchday 25 on 28 September 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 33rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 33' G. Cano → 1-0; 89' Lima, assisted by Martinelli → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Fluminense 2, Botafogo 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 0.95, Botafogo 0.76; shots 8-12 (3-1 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 83%-86%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Martinelli was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 4 of 8 duels.
Marçal was Botafogo's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 64 minutes: 3 tackles, won 5 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense beat Botafogo 2-0 in the Serie A matchday 25 on 28 September 2025. Goals: G. Cano 33', Lima 89'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 47%, Botafogo 53%; shots on target 3-1; expected goals (xG) 0.95-0.76.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.