Fluminense 1-0 Bahia
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Samuel Xavier 7.9 · Marcos Felipe 7.9 · Gabriel Xavier 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections21:494 August 2024: the Serie A matchday 21 match ended Fluminense 1-0 Bahia.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45' Kauã Elias, assisted by Samuel Xavier → 1-0.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Fluminense 3, Bahia 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fluminense 1.06, Bahia 1.73; shots 12-11 (6-3 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 88%-86%.
Bahia created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Samuel Xavier was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 2 of 4 duels.
Marcos Felipe was Bahia's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fluminense beat Bahia 1-0 in the Serie A matchday 21 on 4 August 2024. Goals: Kauã Elias 45'. Match stats: possession Fluminense 49%, Bahia 51%; shots on target 6-3; expected goals (xG) 1.06-1.73.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.