Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Léo Ortiz 8.2 · A. Rossi 7.5 · Luiz Araújo 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections22:0720 July 2025: the Serie A matchday 15 match ended Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Flamengo scored first, in the 85th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 85' Pedro, assisted by Leo Ortiz → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Flamengo 3, Fluminense 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Flamengo 0.97, Fluminense 0.26; shots 9-6 (3-2 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 90%-77%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.71.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Léo Ortiz was Flamengo's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
Ignacio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 88 minutes: 4 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
20 July 2025: the Serie A matchday 15 match ended Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense. Goals: Pedro 85'. Match stats: possession Flamengo 66%, Fluminense 34%; shots on target 3-2; expected goals (xG) 0.97-0.26.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.