Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Manoel 7.5 · Léo Pereira 7.3 · Allan 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:4017 October 2024: the Serie A matchday 30 match ended Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Fluminense scored first, in the 50th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 50' Lima, assisted by Kauã Elias → 0-1; 60' J. Arias, assisted by Martinelli → 0-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Flamengo 1, Fluminense 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Flamengo 1.38, Fluminense 2.10; shots 19-12 (5-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 5-1; pass accuracy 85%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.72.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Léo Pereira was Flamengo's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 96 minutes: 1 key pass, won 4 of 5 duels.
Manoel was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 96 minutes: 3 tackles, won 3 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Flamengo vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 30, 17 October 2024) finished 0-2. Goals: Lima 50', J. Arias 60'. Match stats: possession Flamengo 60%, Fluminense 40%; shots on target 5-3; expected goals (xG) 1.38-2.10.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.