Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Fábio 8.0 · Everton 7.5 · Diogo Barbosa 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections09:33Flamengo drew with Fluminense 1-1 in the Serie A matchday 34 on 11 November 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense levelled after the break. Flamengo scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+2' G. de Arrascaeta, assisted by E. Pulgar → 1-0; 62' Y. González, assisted by J. Arias → 1-1.
Gabriel Barbosa (Flamengo) was sent off in the 90th minute; Nino (Fluminense) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Flamengo 1, Fluminense 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Flamengo 0.86, Fluminense 1.38; shots 11-13 (7-4 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 5-2; pass accuracy 83%-90%.
Fluminense created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Everton was Flamengo's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 68 minutes: 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 7 duels.
Fábio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Flamengo vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 34, 11 November 2023) finished 1-1. Goals: G. de Arrascaeta 45+2', Y. González 62'. Match stats: possession Flamengo 42%, Fluminense 58%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 0.86-1.38.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.