Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Luiz Araújo 8.5 · Gerson 7.7 · Fabrício Bruno 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections22:203 December 2023: the Serie A matchday 37 match ended Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Flamengo scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' Luiz Araújo, assisted by Gerson → 1-0; 45+4' Pedro, assisted by G. de Arrascaeta → 2-0; 79' Clayson (penalty) → 2-1.
VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Flamengo 2, Cuiaba 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Flamengo 1.52, Cuiaba 0.85; shots 19-2 (6-1 on target); possession 68%-32%; corners 6-2; pass accuracy 92%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.67.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Luiz Araújo was Flamengo's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 9 duels.
Clayson was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Flamengo vs Cuiaba (Serie A matchday 37, 3 December 2023) finished 2-1. Goals: Luiz Araújo 6', Pedro 45+4', Clayson 79' (pen). Match stats: possession Flamengo 68%, Cuiaba 32%; shots on target 6-1; expected goals (xG) 1.52-0.85.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.