Fiorentina 3-4 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lautaro Martínez 9.3 · Arthur Cabral 7.2 · L. Jović 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections01:1322 October 2022: the Serie A matchday 11 match ended Fiorentina 3-4 Inter.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Inter scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' N. Barella, assisted by Lautaro Martínez → 0-1; 15' Lautaro Martínez → 0-2; 33' Arthur Cabral (penalty) → 1-2; 60' J. Ikoné, assisted by C. Kouamé → 2-2; 73' Lautaro Martínez (penalty) → 2-3; 90' L. Jović, assisted by N. Milenković → 3-3; 90+5' H. Mkhitaryan → 3-4.
VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Fiorentina 4, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-8 (4-7 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 1-2; pass accuracy 82%-73%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
Arthur Cabral was Fiorentina's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 5 duels.
Lautaro Martínez was Inter's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 85 minutes: 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 5 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fiorentina lost to Inter 3-4 in the Serie A matchday 11 on 22 October 2022. Goals: N. Barella 2', Lautaro Martínez 15', Arthur Cabral 33' (pen), J. Ikoné 60', Lautaro Martínez 73' (pen), L. Jović 90', H. Mkhitaryan 90+5'. Match stats: possession Fiorentina 58%, Inter 42%; shots on target 4-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.