FC Midtjylland 2-1 Aarhus
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: E. Ólafsson 8.2 · J. Emefile 7.7 · H. Dalsgaard 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections02:1320 April 2026: the Superliga match ended FC Midtjylland 2-1 Aarhus.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. FC Midtjylland came from behind in the second half to win. Aarhus scored first, in the 20th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 20' H. Dalsgaard → 0-1; 83' J. Hansen (own goal) → 0-2; 90' J. Emefile, assisted by Paulinho → 1-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: FC Midtjylland 2, Aarhus 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) FC Midtjylland 0.53, Aarhus 2.13; shots 12-15 (2-6 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 3-5; pass accuracy 83%-68%.
Aarhus created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
E. Ólafsson was FC Midtjylland's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
H. Dalsgaard was Aarhus's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
FC Midtjylland beat Aarhus 2-1 in the Superliga on 20 April 2026. Goals: H. Dalsgaard 20', J. Hansen 83' (o.g.), J. Emefile 90'. Match stats: possession FC Midtjylland 66%, Aarhus 34%; shots on target 2-6; expected goals (xG) 0.53-2.13.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.