FC Eindhoven 1-3 Roda
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Jansen 7.9 · J. Müller 7.9 · A. van den Hurk 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections01:26FC Eindhoven lost to Roda 1-3 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 36 on 10 April 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Roda scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' A. van den Hurk, assisted by K. Jansen → 0-1; 6' C. Essers → 1-1; 64' A. van den Hurk (penalty) → 1-2; 77' J. P. Muller, assisted by D. Van den Buijs → 1-3.
Yellow cards: FC Eindhoven 2, Roda 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) FC Eindhoven 1.37, Roda 3.23; shots 12-16 (3-6 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 5-5; pass accuracy 83%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.86.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
C. Essers was FC Eindhoven's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 45 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 1 of 1 duels.
A. van den Hurk was Roda's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 6 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
FC Eindhoven vs Roda (Eerste Divisie matchday 36, 10 April 2026) finished 1-3. Goals: A. van den Hurk 2', C. Essers 6', A. van den Hurk 64' (pen), J. P. Muller 77'. Match stats: possession FC Eindhoven 39%, Roda 61%; shots on target 3-6; expected goals (xG) 1.37-3.23.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.