FC Andorra 0-1 Eibar
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Aleix Garrido 7.9 · Marc Bombardó 7.5 · Anaitz Arbilla 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections18:5930 August 2026: the Segunda División matchday 3 match ended FC Andorra 0-1 Eibar.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Eibar scored first, in the 47th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 47' A. Garrido, assisted by I. Gil → 0-1.
Jon Magunazelaia (Eibar) was sent off in the 56th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: FC Andorra 1, Eibar 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) FC Andorra 1.05, Eibar 0.36; shots 28-4 (5-1 on target); possession 79%-21%; corners 7-2.
FC Andorra created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Marc Bombardó was FC Andorra's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 5 key passes, 3 tackles, won 4 of 6 duels.
Aleix Garrido was Eibar's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 3 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): FC Andorra 43%, draw 27%, Eibar 31%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
FC Andorra lost to Eibar 0-1 in the Segunda División matchday 3 on 30 August 2026. Goals: A. Garrido 47'. Match stats: possession FC Andorra 79%, Eibar 21%; shots on target 5-1; expected goals (xG) 1.05-0.36.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.