FAS 2-1 Alianza
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections05:219 October 2026: the Primera Division match ended FAS 2-1 Alianza.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Alianza scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' H. Osorio → 0-1; 45+5' E. Medrano (penalty) → 1-1; 45+7' E. Medrano → 2-1.
L. Menjivar (Alianza) was sent off in the 74th minute; yellow cards: FAS 0, Alianza 1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: H. Osorio, E. Medrano.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): FAS 45%, draw 27%, Alianza 28%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
FAS beat Alianza 2-1 in the Primera Division on 9 October 2026. Goals: H. Osorio 8', E. Medrano 45+5' (pen), E. Medrano 45+7'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.